Jakarta (water)

kebun-raya_bogor4_012807

Bogor, 2008

This week the 5th World Water Forum has been meeting in Instanbul, Turkey to discuss global water issues.

Published on Saturday, March 21, 2009 by Agence France Presse
Activists Slam World Water Forum as a Corporate-Driven Fraud

ISTANBUL – A global ministerial meeting was putting the final touches here Saturday to resolutions for tackling the world’s water crisis but activists attacked the process as a corporate-driven fraud.

Demonstrators, protesting against the privatization of water resources clash with riot police in front of the venue of the World Water Forum in Istanbul March 16, 2009. Turkish police fired teargas to disperse a group of hundreds gathered at the start of the global water forum in Istanbul on Monday and detained 17, state-run news agency Anatolian reported.The communique to be issued by more than 100 countries on World Water Day on Sunday climaxes a seven-day gathering on how to provide clean water and sanitation for billions and resolve worsening water stress and pollution.

“The world is facing rapid and unprecedented global changes, including population growth, migration, urbanization, climate change, desertification, drought, degradation and land use, economic and diet changes,” according to a draft seen by AFP.

The document, which is non-binding, spells out a consensus for boosting cooperation to ease trans-boundary disputes over water, preventing pollution and tackling drought and floods.

It also describes access to safe drinking water and sanitation as “a basic human need.” France, Spain and several Latin American countries were striving to beef up this reference, from “need” to “right,” a change that could have legal ramifications.

But campaigners representing the rural poor, the environment and organized labor blasted the communique as a sideshow, stage-managed for corporations who are major contributors to the World Water Council, which organizes the Forum.

Maude Barlow, senior adviser to the president of the UN General Assembly, said the Forum promoted privatization of resources by “the lords of water” and excluded dissident voices.

She called for the meeting to be placed under the UN flag.

“We demand that the allocation of water be decided in an open, transparent and democratic forum rather than in a trade show for the world’s large corporations,” Barlow told a press conference.

David Boys, with an NGO called Public Services International, said “transparency, accountability and participation” were absent from the Forum, and dismissed the ministerial statement as “vapid.”

Around 880 million people do not have access to decent sources of drinking water, while 2.5 billion people do not have access to proper sanitation, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said in a report on Tuesday.

By 2030, the number of people living under severe water stress is expected to rise to 3.9 billion, a tally that does not include the impacts of global warming, according to the OECD.

The World Water Council, based in the southern French city of Marseille, holds the World Water Forum every three years. The Istanbul conference, the fifth in the series, drew a record more than 25,000 participants, and registrations from at least 27,000.

The Council’s website says it is funded by more than 300 member organizations from 60 countries, including water utilities, governments, hydrological institutions and associations involved in research, environment and education.

Its president, Loic Fauchon, rejected charges of elitism and exclusion.

“Everyone is invited, and in any case, everyone comes these days,” he told AFP.

He added: “If it (the Forum) were organized by the United Nations, it would lose its characteristic of being open to all. In a UN conference, not everyone who wants to come can participate. In the World Water Forum, anyone can take part.”

The Istanbul Forum has focused overwhelmingly on issues of policymaking and includes a big trade fair by water utilities and engineering firms.

It has also staged side events on issues of civil society, but to a far smaller degree than in other big environmental meetings.

Grassroots campaigners have complained of high registration fees, of geographical separation from the main conference events and of overbearing security.

Water Crisis

“While the world’s population tripled in the 20th century, the use of renewable water resources has grown six-fold. Within the next fifty years, the world population will increase by another 40 to 50 %. This population growth – coupled with industrialization and urbanization – will result in an increasing demand for water and will have serious consequences on the environment.

People lack drinking water and sanitation

Already there is more waste water generated and dispersed today than at any other time in the history of our planet: more than one out of six people lack access to safe drinking water, namely 1.1 billion people, and more than two out of six lack adequate sanitation, namely 2.6 billion people (Estimation for 2002, by the WHO/UNICEF JMP, 2004). 3900 children die every day from water borne diseases (WHO 2004). One must know that these figures represent only people with very poor conditions. In reality, these figures should be much higher.”

That Jakarta has a serious water problem (either too much in the wrong place or not enough in the right place) has been obvious, certainly its citizens are fully aware of the situation.  And it has not gone unnoticed as the links below to The Jakarta Post articles attest:

  • Residents protest water shortages
  • Editorial: Water scarcity
  • North Jakarta faces water shortage
  • Jakarta facing dry future
  • With the most recent being Letters : Water shortage in Jakarta an editorial appearing in the March 22, 2009 TJP edition and written by Wolf C. Hoffman. In part, here is what Mr. Hoffman reports,

    “The great question is: Why has nothing fundamentally changed? In Indonesia there are some excellent universities and enough technical colleges to teach and train young academics and engineers.

    It cannot be that nothing has been happening in the wide field of planning, reliability and environmental issues; the reason seems to be the missing financial resources.

    A further provocative question: Who is sitting on the cash box for all these necessary investments for a worth-living future? The reference to missing funds is very often a beautiful excuse! Why does a district building authority allow the development of buildings in nondeveloped areas?

    How can it happen that there is uncontrolled construction of houses and workshops directly near rivers and canals, where there is no adequate infrastructure – besides a road?

    Why do the authorities tolerate thousands of people getting rid of all their human waste and household waste by throwing it in the rivers’ flowing waters?

    The administrations are responsible for the strict compliance of the development schemes and settlements. Every migration of people from rural regions to the city or its surroundings can only be carried out when the planning prerequisites for a settlement are fulfilled.

    Via the Internet I found a very informative article by the architect Bony Sukamto, who lives in Jakarta and studied at the TU Berlin in the 1980s.

    In the German article “Flood Wave in Jakarta” he described exactly, devoid of any polemics, the floods of February 2007 and how, at any time during the monsoon season, these could happen again. Bony also mentioned the basic data of the development planning from 1965 to 2003 which were once the aim of the regional government of Jakarta.

    None of this was strictly adhered to. Almost three-quarters of the 200 ponds and many “green isles” in Jakarta were victims of excess planning and were built over – or more clearly: Covered with concrete!”

     Indeed, covered with concrete.  How can it be?

     

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    Jakarta (air! or the lack there of)

    carry-water

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Photo: Jakarta Post

    In April 2008 I ran a post titled ‘The End is Near’

    Indonesia’s thirsty capital is a sinking city

    JAKARTA (AFP) – Separated by a road and a viscous finger of black, garbage-choked water, the stilt-house slum of Muara Baru and the BMW car dealership that faces it appear as if from different worlds.

    But on December 6, 2025, these two extremes of the Indonesian capital will have something in common as a World Bank study shows that unless action is taken, they and much of the coastal city of 12 million will be submerged by seawater. …>go to article

    I wanted to get this post out because there have been predictions of the demise of Jakarta for some time. Well, now we have a date.  Anyone up for an end of Jakarta party in 2025?  It’s only a mere 17 years away. Think of that.

    Now comes this…

    From TempoInteraktif…

    Jakarta Predicted to be Underwater By 2012
    Monday, 02 March, 2009 | 16:23 WIB

    TEMPO Interactive, Jakarta:Firdaus Ali, a technical environment researcher from the University of Indonesia, predicts that Jakarta will be underwater before the year 2012. He cited as the cause the excessive suction of ground water in the Jakarta area, resulting in the continuing subsidence of the land surface. “Not only will the city go underwater, we will also suffer from dehydration prior to that,” said the doctorate from the University of Wisconsin contacted by Tempo yesterday.

    Firdaus’ calculation was based on the data of land subsidence in the capital city, which ranges around 10 centimeters a year in average. In West Jakarta, during the past 11 years, the land surface subsided by 1,2 meters. In Kemayoran and Thamrin in Central Jakarta, it has lost ground by 80 centimeters for the last 8 years. “If this continues, Jakarta’s land surface will be below sea level,” Firdaus said.

    City Environment Committee chief, Darrundono, shared a similar opinion, pointing out that extreme exploitation of ground water has caused a drastic land subsidence. He said ground water supply is not increasing, yet its consumption keeps going higher. “A ground water crisis in Jakarta has come to a dangerous stage,” he cautioned.

    The Jakarta administration plans to increase fees for ground water usage by luxury homes and industries to 6 – 16 times higher. This is aimed at reducing consumption which has become more exploitative.

    Increasing fees, Firdaus said, is one of the instruments to reduce its usage. Users would be persuaded to use potable water from the services of the state-run Water Supply Company (PAM). “Ground water tariffs should be higher than that of PAM,” he said.

    Every year, 320 million water cubic meters are sucked up from the ground, according to Firdaus. Yet, the reasonable amount should be only 38 million cubic meters. Meanwhile, the official data cites only 21 million cubic meters allowed to be consumed. “The remaining must be taken illegally,” he said.

    According to Firdaus, extreme ground water exploitation creates a hollow in the earth. The resulting pressure causes the land subsidence. There are already many hollow areas around. “Even local rainfall can flood many areas,” he said.

    Darrundono said the subsidence will cause Jakarta to slowly go below sea level. Sea water intrusion has currently reached 11 – 12 kilometers from the coast. “Sea water intrusion has reached the Setia Budi area in South Jakarta. Floods will become even more unmanageable,” he said. Sea water intrusion and subsidence can also cause buildings to collapse.

    Darrundono criticized the construction of super-block buildings and skyscrapers in Jakarta, which also takes up excessive amount of ground water.

    SOFIAN| LIS

    I live on the Island of Hawaii which is nearly all rock so it is very expensive to dig trenches to bury water and sewer pipes. Where that does occur is in the relatively  limited urbanized area of the island. Most homes here have septic tanks and water catchment. You would be surprised how much water you can catch off your roof.  Although you can’t miss that effect when it rains in Jakarta, which it often does. Most everyone here has a tank of some sort in their back yard to store the catched water. It’s not too expensive to install and the water is free. You can filter it and drink it. No problem.  This could be done in Jakarta on large and small scales. Otherwise 2025 is going to be coming thirteen years early.

    Note: I am leaving the Book of the Week  ‘Behind the Postcolonial Architecture, Urban Space and Political Cultures in Indonesia’ up for another week.  Those interested in my previous post should read it. In fact it should be mandatory reading at all Indonesian Universitys.

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    Jakarta (Bill Gates, food, OPEC, the tallest building in SE Asia)

    Jakarta

    From CNET Asia

    Bill Gates scheduled to visit Jakarta on May 8 …> go to article

    Microsoft Corporation founder and chairman Bill Gates is scheduled to visit Indonesia on May 8 to 9, 2008. According to Coordinating Minister for People’s Welfare Aburizal Barkrie, Gates will be visiting Indonesia to reciprocate President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s tour of the Microsoft headquarters in Seattle last year.

    Gates will address a plenum of the GLF (Government Leaders Forum) along with Yudhoyono on Friday, May 9. Besides attending the GLF, Gates is also expected to become a speaker at the Presidential Lecture program at the Jakarta Convention Center on Friday. GLF Asia 2008 will discuss about the “Serving the Citizen: The Transformative Power of Information Technology in Delivering Government Services”.

    As reported by Antara News Agency, Gates will also talk to the Indonesian Government about the development of bird flu vaccines in Indonesia. He will also endorse the Visit Indonesia Year 2008 campaign, according to news portal Detik. This plan was revealed by Minister Aburizal during a press conference with Trade Minister Marie E. Pangestu and Microsoft Indonesia president director Tony Chen.

    “We hope Gates’s presence here will give a positive image for the country’s tourism,” Aburizal said.

    But the bird flu vaccines and tourism issue are not top priorities that I want to hear from Gates during his visit here. I want to know his answers to:

    1. How much he (or his company) will invest here in supporting Indonesia’s next digital decade.
    2. What the future projects are which fit in with his ideas on creating the Asian Miracle.
    3. Whether he thinks Indonesia can be the next Asian miracle in terms of a digital world.
    4. What Microsoft’s solutions and approaches are in combatting software piracy in Indonesia. (Indonesia has long been fighting software piracy problems. As written by The Jakarta Post, IDC reported that Indonesia had reduced its software piracy rate by 2 percent from 87 percent in 2003 to 85 percent in 2006).
    5. Can his foundation support, well, the country’s open source movement?

    I am not sure I can attend all his lectures and sessions because until today, my name was still on the waiting list to get an official badge to enter the forum.

    But no problem. At least, I hope other participants will ask (if possible) the above questions I have.

    Welcome to Indonesia, Mr Gates! Selamat datang”.

    Yes, welcome to Indonesia Mr. Gates.  I hope you take the time to at least get out of the air conditioning for an hour or two and REALLY see Jakarta.  Why not cut away from hanging out with government elites and head down one Jalan Tikus to a kampung in West Jakarta, one by the canal? Try to find some clean drinking water. Or why not visit a school? Try to find one that is not in disrepair, has books, has chalk for the blackboards, or has a computer, even just an old one, that is connected to the internet with more than the ability to download 1MB in an hour. Of course there is plenty of MS sofware at hand. It’s cheap and generally unlicensed in Indonesia. And PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE keep a safe distance from that Bakrie fellow.

    Or why not take the time to listen to Rebcca Henschke’s excellent report  on Public Radio International on how the food crisis is effecting the urban poor in Jakarta.  You can listen to this broadcast here …>go to boradcast   This report will freeze you in your tracks and make you wonder where your moral compass went astray.  Or here is an article from the AFP which might be of interest.

    Rising food, fuel prices drive Indonesian May Day rallies
    May 1, 2008

    JAKARTA (AFP) – Thousands of Indonesians took to the streets of the capital Jakarta for Labour Day rallies on Thursday, with rising food prices and an expected cut in fuel subsidies weighing heavily on workers’ minds.

    Police said about 10,000 people gathered in the city centre and at the presidential palace.

    Carrying banners reading “Lower Food Prices Now” and “More Pay for Workers and Farmers,” many of the demonstrators said they were alarmed at soaring inflation and the prospect of sharply higher fuel bills.

    “If they keep increasing the price of food, maybe we’ll have to eat less,” factory worker Lia said.

    “The price of formula milk for the baby has gone up. It’s now 36,000 rupiah (nearly four dollars) for a can of 600 grams and the baby drinks it up in two days,” she said”. …> go to article

    But don’t worry, on the upside Indonesia has plenty of oil… or…

    From The Times of India …> go to article

    JAKARTA (INDONESIA): “President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono said on Tuesday that Indonesia was considering of quitting the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) because it was no longer a net oil exporter.

    “Our wells are drying,” he said, adding that the country needs to concentrate on increasing domestic production, which has dropped to less than a million barrels a day even as consumption is rising.

    The government opened talks on Monday on whether it “should continue to stay with OPEC or withdraw its membership until it reaches a point where it deserves to rejoin that organization again,” Yudhoyono told agencies around Indonesia.

    The country of 235 million people is Southeast Asia’s only OPEC member. But it has to import oil because of decades of declining investment in exploration and extraction due to corruption and a weak legal system that makes oil companies wary of doing business here. Indonesia’s oil output has declined steadily from oil production of 1.5 million to 1.6 million barrels a day in the mid-1990s. It produced around 860,000 barrels a day of crude oil last month and recorded a deficit of $794 million in its oil trade accounts.

    It is not the first time the country has re-evaluated its OPEC membership, but in past years teams commissioned by the government have recommended staying in the grouping to maintain good relations with other oil producers”.

     But with Lion Air purchasing 56 new Boeing 737s, a growth rate running at 7% in 2007, Jakarta accounting for half of Indonesia’s GNP,  building construction booming in the city, and global oil demand skyrocketing,  is it no wonder the wells are drying up?

    And so this just what  Jakarta REALLY needs…

    From Asia Propety Report

    Jakarta to get SE Asia’s tallest tower …> go to article
    by Asia Pulse

    “Dubai-based real estate giant Emaar Properties plans to build a landmark tower in Jakarta, to be the tallest skyscraper in Southeast Asia, a presidential envoy said. Special envoy for Middle East Alwi Shihab said on Monday Emaar Chairman Mohamed Ali Alabbar had proposed the project to President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono during an informal meeting Saturday. At the moment, we are still looking for the right location in Jakarta for the project, Alwi told the newspaper The Jakarta Post.

    Emaar, the largest land and real estate developer in the Gulf is famed for its on going construction in Dubai of the 718-meter tall Burj Dubai, which would be the tallest skyscraper in the world. In March, Emaar signed a joint venture agreement with state-owned Bali Tourism Development Corp. to build an integrated tourism project in southern Lombok, Bali´s neighboring island”.

     

     

    Jakarta (the end is near)

     

    Jakarta Kota

    An interesting article from the AFP is running just now and it is really worth a look.

     

    Indonesia’s thirsty capital is a sinking city

    JAKARTA (AFP) – Separated by a road and a viscous finger of black, garbage-choked water, the stilt-house slum of Muara Baru and the BMW car dealership that faces it appear as if from different worlds.

    But on December 6, 2025, these two extremes of the Indonesian capital will have something in common as a World Bank study shows that unless action is taken, they and much of the coastal city of 12 million will be submerged by seawater. …>go to article

    I wanted to get this post out because there have been predictions of the demise of Jakarta for some time. Well, now we have a date.  Anyone up for an end of Jakarta party in 2025?  It’s only a mere 17 years away. Think of that.

    Jakarta (on $2.00 a day)

    watrefall

     Gedde-Pangrango National Park

    Jakarta on two dollars a day …>go to article

    Boston Globe March 11, 2008 04:26 PM

    Resources are meager, and clean water is scarce.

    By Anita Bekenstein

    Sunday March 9

    JAKARTA, Indonesia — Two dollars a day! That, we are told, is what more than 40 percent of the residents of north Jakarta survive on. It is a figure that defies belief. How can people live with so little?

    We are in north Jakarta, a neighborhood filled with migrants, to look in on a pilot Mercy Corps project that aims to convert household garbage into money-making compost.

    The migrants’ tale is like that of many others in the developing world. Laborers leave their families behind in rural areas of Indonesia and come in search of work to the capital, where better economic opportunities exist. They work in local factories, in construction jobs paid by the day, in shops, as street vendors. They live a meager life so they can send money back home to support their loved ones.

    So, what does $2 a day mean for the people here? For one thing, it means precious little clean water, which, we learn quickly, is in terribly short supply.

    Cheap sources of water are the few public wells where residents can access shallow well water. But it is both salty and contaminated, and is not suitable for drinking. Nevertheless, this precious water is carried to homes for bathing and cleaning.

    Fewer than half the homes here are attached to the public water supply. The majority of the people have to purchase their water from those with the supply, or resort to the even more expensive option of buying bottled water. The water from the public supply still has to be boiled before drinking it, a time-consuming process which also adds to its cost.Access to toilets is limited. Public toilets are available to adults for a fee. Children use the side of the road”.

    The question is not Have You Washed Your Car Today but are you thinking outside of the Indonesian box?

    As noted today is the United Nations sanctioned World Water Day.
     

    What Jakarta needs… 
     

    The Next Big ThingA Way To Produce Cheap, Clean Water …>go to article

    CBS News

    From inventor Dean Kamen comes his latest project: creating a machine that can produce clean water cheaply (I recently saw this demonstrated and not only is the idea quite remarkable it actually works. You can make drinkable water from raw sewage!).

    “In the emerging world, in the under-developed world, a gallon of water is so precious that without it, you’re going to die,” says Kamen.

    “In some places, the average amount of time per day spent looking for water that’s safe for their kids by women is four hours. And they carry this stuff, which weighs 62 pounds per cubic foot, four or five miles. And if it didn’t turn out to be the right stuff, or they put their hands in it and contaminated it, they spend the next day or two burying the babies.”

    How did this fit into his work – his vision? He started by making a better energy source for his IBOT. Knowing that batteries weren’t going to be capable of carrying enough energy to do what fossil fuels do, he began experimenting with a Stirling engine.

    The Stirling engine, named after its designer, Robert Stirling, a 19th Century Scottish minister, is a non-polluting device that plays heat against cold to create energy. It is a closed box with two chambers, one filled with gas. Once heated from the outside, with anything from burning wood chips to charcoal, the gas expands, creating pressure. That pressure drives a piston from the hot chamber into the cool chamber.

    In Kamen’s design, that mechanical power achieves two goals: It creates electrical power – 300 continuous watts – enough to run a few electrical devices – and, as a bonus, creates enough heat to distill contaminated water, making it drinkable”.

    More information here at CNN

    Segway creator unveils his next act Inventor Dean Kamen wants to put entrepreneurs to work bringing water and electricity to the world’s poor. …>go to article

    To install these machines in every kampung in Jakarta is doable right now.

     Some additional notes on H5N1…

    For more on H5N1 I highly recommend Center for Infectous Disease and Research Policy (CIDRAP). They keep their site well updated and are not messing around. 

    Many US and European cities have developed emergency plans for pandemic outbreak of H5N1. What of Jakarta? 

    Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is another good site for up-to-date information and contingency planning regarding H5N1.

    I have written a number of posts about H5N1 in Jakarta and Indonesia.  It is an issue not to be taken lightly and will have profound effects if (perhaps when) the virus mutates and becomes transmissable from human to human. Given the conditions in Jakarta you have to ask yourself what would ensue if this occurred.

    Posted in H5N1, Notes. Tags: , . Leave a Comment »

    Jakarta (trends and emergent properties again)

    sawah dimana

     Photo: Jakarta Daily Photo

    Let’s start out with this, it’s a conversation I found on a web site called topix which has an Indonesian Forum.

    Indonesia; The Most Sucks Place I Ever Visited …>go to discussion

    This broadside begins with a post from Kore, who resides in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.

    “I must say that Indonesia is not a country worth visiting … sorry about this… For starter, Jakarta is very dirty, you’ll see trash and litter everywhere you go. I just can’t imagine a capital city with this poor level of cleanliness…  …you’ll feel like that you’re in some third-world country with poor people and trash everywhere (I think Indonesia is still considered a third-world?)…

    …I was lucky I have a friend in Jakarta, otherwise I wouldn’t dare goind around in public transportation… …I certainly didn’t want to take the public busses. Wait until you see them yourselves, and I bet you wouldn’t want to ride in one either. The busses are so dirty, so packed with people and the vehicles themselves look as if they’re very poorly taken care of. I couldn’t even find a decent information of which bus should I take if I would want to go somewhere, and what is the fare… …Not to mention the streets from hell. The traffic in Jakarta beats the hell out of any traffic I’ve ever seen in the world. Traffic jams everywhere. People driving with only one or two inches away from each other. The worse of all is the motorcycles. I even said to my friend that they are like motorcycles from hell. They squeezed their way to very small gaps between cars, sometimes even hit our rearview mirrors. They constantly cut your way, so my friend always to be extra careful with them and sometime he even had to hit the brake brutely to avoid collisions. What an experience … I must say. I sometimes jumped from my seat when suddenly a motorcycle speeding through our side of the cars with just few inches away, in a traffic jam, with their loud noises …. a hell indeed. Andy even told me that be very careful not to hit a motorcycle, since even that you’re not the one causing the collision, the car driver would be the one blamed and they could go rough on you asking for money. I said “what the hell …. what kind of people are they … we’re not living in the dark ages are we?” … and Andy could just shrugged with bitter smile.

    Another important thing … be careful of the food. I got stomachache for 3 days because Andy took me to this food stall that he said very delicious. Well the food was alright … but I got diarrhea the next day. Well, if you go to this food stall, you wouldn’t be surprised why I got the diarrhea. It was a very small food stall, on a pedestrian. Just next to the pedestrian was this open sewer, and guess what … people threw away trash into that sewer. Not to mention flies everywhere and I could have sworn a saw a cockroach running around…”

    There are a few choice words in the discussion line which followed but SoRaYa from Jakarta sets everything right with this final post.

    “Malaysian has no brain to be creative, they only can insulting Indonesian and stealing Indonesian’s traditionals.

    Hey u, KORE…
    If u don’t like Indonesia, why ur country steal Indonesian’s traditional dancer n many more?????

    If u don’t have mirror @ur house, i suggest u to BUY IT!!!! N take a good damn look to ur ashamed UGLY FACE as they r UGLY MIND&SOUL u have indeed..”

    Moving on… 

    Rising Food Prices in Indonesia Raise Security Concerns …>go to article
    Voice of America

    Nancy-Amelia Collins
    Jarkata
    19 March 2008

    “…According to government statistics, in the past year cooking oil has risen nearly 40 percent, rice is up 25 percent and tofu, a staple of the Indonesian diet, has gone up by 50 percent.

    Bayu Krisnamurti, the deputy minister for agriculture, says the government is concerned the high price of basic commodities has the capability of fueling social unrest, similar to the 1965 coup that led to the rise of the dictator Suharto and the 1998 protests that toppled the former president.

    “We are worried. In 1965 we faced a very, very depressing situation to make social unrest,” said Krisnamurti. “Even in a more recent history, in 1998, it’s also a similar situation. We do hope that 2008 is not another situation like that because the cost to the economy is too high.”

    Sensitive to price-related unrest, the government continues to spend about 35 percent of its entire budget on fuel and electricity subsidies to keep those commodities affordable for the poor.

    The World Bank estimates about half of Indonesia’s population of 220 million lives in poverty, on around $2 a day.

    The rising cost of food has raised concerns even more people will slip into poverty.

    Agricultural analyst H.S. Dillon says this is a recipe for disaster.

    “What is the prognosis? High food prices amidst poverty? I see nothing and I don’t have a crystal ball, I see nothing but social unrest,” said Dillon”.

    If this was not bad enough…

    Rice supplies set to fall to 25-year low …>go to article

    Times On Line March 13, 2008

    Rhys Blakely in Bombay

    “World supplies of rice are reaching dangerously low levels after stores of South Asia’s staple food fell to a 25-year low and governments battled to stabilise domestic markets.

    The US Department of Agriculture is predicting global rice stocks will fall to about 70 million tons this year, the lowest level since the early 1980s and half the level in 2000.

    Earlier this week, the Philippines failed in an attempt to buy rice to boost its inventories.

    Traders offered to sell the country only 325,000 tonnes when it wanted to buy 550,000 tonnes. The average offered price, of nearly $680 a tonne was up more than 40 per cent from January…

    …Despite a tenfold hike in rice prices in some local markets over the past year, social unrest has been kept at bay partly because most of the increases have been gradual, analysts say.

    However, most of the world’s rice crops are consumed by the countries that produce them, which means the global market in rice is relatively thin and prone to violent swings.

    Jonathan Pincus, the UN Development Programme’s chief economist in Vietnam, said: “One big increase in imports from a large country such as India could lead to a big spike in prices. This is the danger.”

    He said: “Historically, every Asian government has shown it is very aware of the close relationship between political stability and the stability of the rice market.”

    Then one more incremental click foward…

    Bird flu in Indonesia could mutate into human form: UN agency …>go to article
    From AFP 4 days ago

    ROME (AFP) – The bird flu situation is “critical” in Indonesia, where the virus could mutate and cause a human pandemic, the UN food agency warned on Tuesday.

    “The prevalence of avian influenza in Indonesia remains serious despite (national and international) containment efforts,” the Rome-based Food and Agriculture Organisation said in a statement.

    The FAO’s chief veterinary officer, Joseph Domenech, said he was “deeply concerned that the high level of virus circulation in birds in the country could create conditions for the virus to mutate and to finally cause a human influenza pandemic.”

    UN: Indonesia Failing in Bird Flu Fight …>go to article
    AP 3 days ago

    JAKARTA, Indonesia (AP) – “Efforts to contain bird flu are failing in Indonesia, increasing the possibility that the virus may mutate into a deadlier form, the leading U.N. veterinary health body warned.

    The H5N1 bird flu virus is entrenched in 31 of the country’s 33 provinces and will cause more human deaths, the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization said in a statement released late Tuesday.

    “I am deeply concerned that the high level of virus circulation in birds in the country could create conditions for the virus to mutate and to finally cause a human influenza pandemic,” FAO Chief Veterinary Officer Joseph Domenech said.

    Indonesia “has not succeeded in containing the spread of avian influenza,” Domenech said, adding that there must be “major human and financial resources, stronger political commitment and strengthened coordination.”

    The H5N1 virus has killed at least 236 people in a dozen countries worldwide since it began ravaging poultry stocks across Asia in 2003. It has been found in birds in more than 60 countries, but Indonesia has recorded 105 deaths, almost half the global tally, according to the World Health Organization”.

    And so it goes…